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If there was a sport betting 101 class, this would the accompanying textbook. This book covers everything: how a sportsbook is really just a type of financial market, how you can find an edge in that market, where edges generally exist, and even the differences between the business models of various types of books and what that means for you. It's a fantastic introduction to sports betting and the sole reason I didn't give this book 5 stars is because it didn't touch on one of the most important parts of betting: bankroll management. Given the misinformation in the gambling media regarding it (especially with regards to the myth that you should always bet a "unit" or to win a unit), I think that this book should've dedicated a section to the subject. As an example, let's say your best friend is a degenerate gambler and likes betting on coin flips just for fun. If you have $100 and your friend allows you to bet on the result of the flip for any amount of money at even odds (if you bet $5, you win $5 + your initial $5), how much of your bankroll should you bet on each flip with a fair coin in order to maximize your expected ROI? How about if you know that the coin will come up heads 60% of the time? And how does that change if you know that the coin will come up heads 80% of the time? Wouldn't you want to vary your bet size based on the size of the edge you have? It turns out that the answers to those questions can be proven mathematically via the Kelly criterion (spoilers: betting the same amount regardless of your edge is incredibly sub-optimal. Bigger spoilers: betting without a quantifiable edge is just lighting your money on fire in the long run). designer bags cyber monday

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everything's not awesome
(chorus)

everything's not awesome
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everything's not awesome
but in my heart, i believe (i believe)

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call me wrong, misguided, or faithless, but i never wanted anything for my daughter that went against god. i would give her to him freely knowing i was doing what he would want. so what is so wrong with thinking it is god's will? people say it all the time " see you tomorrow, god willing". it's a phrase we use not really thinking about it.

Drivers don't work for Amazon but company has lots of rules for them But the labor model - Amazon's in particular - is expected to get a closer look in President Joe Biden's Washington. Critics have long argued that the company's stringent delivery standards exacerbate the risk of accidents that can hurt or kill people. Amazon's labor arrangements have already been challenged in court, both by drivers seeking to hold the company responsible for unpaid wages, and by victims of collisions who charge that Amazon is responsible for their injuries. Earlier this year, the company agreed to pay $8.2 million in a class-action settlement to resolve Seattle-area DSP employees' claims of missed breaks and overtime pay without admitting wrongdoing. Amazon is facing similar complaints in a handful of other states. To meet the task, Amazon turns to two groups of drivers: Amazon Flex workers, who like their Uber or Instacart counterparts are classified as independent contractors exempt from U.S. employment laws; and DSP drivers, who are classified as employees of local logistics companies. Amazon started the DSP program in 2018, pitching it as a way to support small entrepreneurs. "This kind of arrangement basically locks in place a low-wage economy, even as Amazon is incredibly profitable," said Temple University law professor Brishen Rogers. Amazon's recent DSP contract, and the policy it requires those companies to follow, includes several provisions shielding the retailer from liability or further embarrassment. DSPs are required to have policies on "employment at-will," the discretion of management to fire workers for almost any reason or with no stated reason at all. DSPs can't issue press releases about their Amazon work without the company's permission. DSPs must handle any disputes with Amazon through individual arbitration hearings rather than class-action lawsuits and must require their drivers to do the same. If DSPs get sued, Amazon has a veto over legal settlements and the option to commandeer the companies' defense. Amazon is specifically indemnified from liability for death or injury. DSPs must make their employees sign non-disclosure agreements and are also obligated to safeguard Amazon's information. (The DSPs are required to keep the contract itself confidential too.) DSPs' data gets used in part to score their performance on metrics such as employee retention and successful deliveries, which Amazon can use to reward some DSPs with bonuses and terminate underperformers. Amazon can also punish DSPs with cancellation fees that it determines and restricts them from terminating their relationship during its busy months of November or December. designer bags cyber monday

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oh veronica how i miss you so. i have been working on transferring these blog posts to a word document and re-reading all that i wrote when you were first placed on hospice has left me heavy hearted. i have racoon eyes from all the crying. of course, i've also had my distractions and your little blessings too.

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i knew if we did not get reggie back he would not survive the night. coyotes would surely eat him and if by miracle he was found, i didn't think he would be returned. i was slowly trying to imagine losing him. i screamed. i screamed at simon. what would possess him to let reggie out? as it turns out, the noise i heard at the door was not mitch, but simon. reggie was barking at a deer he had seen outside and simon wanted to let him "get him". in mitch's defense, he did not know what simon was up to because he was busy changing bridget's diaper. 

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i called reggie right away and that sweet puppy ran towards me. i even had to jump in front of mitch's car (he had just left the garage in search of him) to not run over reggie. i was so happy we found him. it could have been an awful night. but god and my veronica heard my prayer, it was an easy one to grant, and so it was. thank you both.

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